There are now a number of renowned scientists who refute the common view of the 'consensus climate science' vocalised in progress reports of the intergovernmental panel (IPCC). They are often called "climate skeptics". Their criticism is directed mainly against the central thesis of the IPCC, according to which a significant proportion of the recent warming process is human made. The group of critics particularly stresses the importance of solar activity to global warming. It includes, for example, atmospheric physicist, W. Gray, professor of environmental sciences F. Singer, or the Director of the Danish National Space Center, Henrik Svensmark.

This relatively new branch of the field of climate science suggests that the world's climate has entered a phase of cooling and reduced solar activity, which according to experts might lead to significant crop losses and a further shortage of food. The persistently low activity of the sun can be understood as an indication for a prolonged cooling period, if not even a new "little ice age". For about 8-10 years, the average temperature dropped. As satellite measurements indicate the ongoing cooling has already compensated for the entire temperature rise of the last 150 years (0.6 degree C), which Al Gore & Co. got so exited about.

graph sources: http://www.cato.org/testimony/ct-pm100699.html

http://www.abd.org.uk/climate_change_truths.htm

The solar activity is at present (Sept. 2009) still extremely low and the earth is therefore more exposed to high cosmic radiation. From July to early September 2009, the sun was for 51 days in a row free of any spots. Since 2004 there have been 706 days without sunspots, a typical solar minimum has only 485 such days. Scientists are puzzled when the next sunspot cycle is gaining momentum.

An indication of the likely future behavior of the sun gives us the periodicity of the solar cycles. Normally the sun goes through an on average eleven-year cycle of activity increase and decrease, manifesting in phenomena such as the formation of visible spots on its surface. The records of these sunspots go back four centuries, as long as there are telescopes.

Abdusamatow warned that due to the extremely low solar activity - lower than anytime during the past 30 years - in 2008, global temperatures were likely to fall slightly further rather than rise, and even if industrial emissions of CO2 rose to record levels. He forecasts that the solar activity, as part of a 200-year cycle, will continue to fall to it's minimum around 2041 and approx. from 2055-60 the earth will be exposed to a deep cooling.This will last for approximately 45-65 years. From the middle of the 21 Century, the planet is in for a new little ice age.

In addition to these shorter solar cycles, there is the long-term cycles based on interrelations between Earth and sun. Those also point towards the beginning of a new cold period.

Over the past several million years of the Pleistocene, the northern hemisphere experienced a protracted phase of advancing ice over periods, of which each lasted on average approximately 100,000 years, and in between there were shorter, warmer interglacial periods of 11,000 years on average. In the last Ice Age, which ended about 12,000 years ago, Northern and Eastern Europe and the northern half of America was covered by 2-3 kilometers thick ice. The parameters of earth's orbit - precession, obliquity and ellipticity - point to an early start of a new ice age, which may in turn have triggered a slowdown in solar activity, as we know it now.

So it's quite silly, when politicians talk about global warming, and not about the very real prospect of several decades of global cooling, which can lead to global food shortages and a total global economic collapse.

The current solar cycle, counted by the scientists as No. 23, now has lasted 13 years. Cycle 24 is still not on the horizon. The last solar cycle, which lasted for more than 13 years, was the cycle 3, immediately before the so-called Dalton Minimum, a cold period that lasted from 1796 to 1824 and is called the "little ice age". This cold spell was caused by the low activity of the sun in cycles 4 and 5 which led at that time to crop failures and famine.

The recent inactivity of the sun is consistent with the prediction scientists at the Pulkovo observatory in St. Petersburg published in the last two years. On 22 January 2008 Chabibullo Abdusamatow, Director of Research at the observatory, predicted: "The temperatures on Earth have stabilized in the last decade, and the planet should be prepared for a new ice age rather than for global warming."

The very cold god of physics is there with the red pen to make sure we all get it right in the end ...

Prospect of several decades of global cooling